Databeans 2005 forecast: semiconductor markets - worldwide
9 February 2005
News
Susie Inouye,senior industry analyst, Databeans
It almost goes without saying that 2004 was a huge growth year for the semiconductor industry. Led by memory products and logic, the overall market was up an estimated 28% over the previous year. There were gains seen in every semiconductor category, from optoelectronics and sensors to MOS Micro and the discretes. Analog ICs alone grew an estimated 17% with over $31 bn for the year.
All of the excitement seems to have passed. The semiconductor market needs to stabilise itself in 2005, by way of clearing the excess inventory built up from overspending. For this year, Databeans expects that the overall market will be flat, generating an estimated $212 bn in revenue, which would equal a -1% change from last year. That is assuming that this market will correct itself with a combination of sustained demand for computers and consumer electronics, and with reduced capital spending on the part of suppliers.
China continues to be a region of focus for the semiconductor industry, as it will in the next few years become the largest market in the world, generating more semiconductor revenue than any other country or region. For example, as the US, Japan, and Europe have bought more cellphones and computers from China, the country's exports rose 33% in December of 2004, increasing the trade surplus to its highest level ever.
The Chinese government would like the country to become an exporter of higher 'value-added' goods such as technology products, while moving away from cheaper consumer goods and commodity textiles. It also wants to develop exports by its own domestic companies, rather than having to rely upon exports from foreign multinational corporations.
Looking ahead into next year, the semiconductor outlook is brighter, with growth expected across all segments. Databeans considers 2006 a return to growth year, with that growth to be sustained well into 2007.
Global revenue forecast for semiconductors by major product segment
For more information contact Susie Inouye, Databeans, [email protected], www.databeans.net
Further reading:
Rooibos heads to space
News
A South African scientific initiative linking agriculture and space research has officially launched today with the Rooibos in Space programme at Parklands College’s Innovation Centre in Cape Town.
Read more...
From the editor's desk: Local can be international
Technews Publishing
Editor's Choice News
Welcome to the July 2026 issue of
Dataweek. As you can see from this introduction,
Dataweek’s regular editor, Peter Howells, is on extended leave and I am filling the void in his editor’s column – hopefully without being too boring.
Read more...
Landis+Gyr EMEA introduces new company name: EYKON
News
EYKON is the new company name of Landis+Gyr EMEA, formerly part of the Landis+Gyr Group. The company supports electricity, gas, water and thermal utilities in managing increasingly complex networks, improving operational efficiency and enabling more sustainable use of resources.
Read more...
Yamaha Robotics will show visitors to EFX
Manufacturing / Production Technology, Hardware & Services News
Yamaha Robotics will show visitors to EFX 2026, the Expo for Electronics Manufacturing, in Stuttgart from 6-8 October 2026, how advanced surface-mount automation helps companies grow their business and increase productivity.
Read more...
From the editor's desk: The art of measuring the truth
Technews Publishing
Editor's Choice News
All electronic measurements are a lie. The trick is making the lie as small as possible.
Read more...
TSE has relocated
News
The Technology Station in Electronics (TSE) has entered a new chapter with its relocation from the CSIR campus to TUT-owned building at Ditsela Place in Hatfield.
Read more...
Innovative MyLegrand app
RS South Africa
News
Legrand SA is set to launch the MyLegrand mobile application, a digital platform designed to strengthen engagement across its professional network.
Read more...
Kulani Energy acquires critical assets from Optipower
News
Kulani Energy preserves engineering, procurement, and construction capability and positions a wholly women-owned firm at the forefront of South Africa’s grid expansion.
Read more...
From Cape Town to Johannesburg
News
Würth Elektronik South Africa has taken a significant step forward with its recent relocation from Cape Town to Johannesburg, marking a new phase of growth and ambition for the company.
Read more...
Lesley Havenga: Building partnerships for Africa’s electronics future
Editor's Choice News
As Würth Electronik expands its footprint across South Africa and the broader sub-Saharan region, Havenga’s blend of manufacturing expertise, supply chain knowledge, and people-centred leadership appears well suited to the task.
Read more...
printer friendly version